Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — Chart & Closelook Read

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Company snapshot — Microsoft Corporation

MSFT in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelook stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does: Microsoft builds software and cloud services for individuals and businesses. Its Productivity and Business Processes unit sells Microsoft 365, Teams, LinkedIn and Dynamics 365; its Intelligent Cloud unit runs Azure and server products; its More Personal Computing unit covers Windows, Surface devices, Xbox and search advertising through Bing and Copilot. It is based in Redmond, United States.
Where it sits in the stack: Microsoft carries no Rubin or Halo seat in the diary's build-out stack, so it sits within our broader Technology universe rather than a hardware layer. It appears in the Agentic Winners 40, a sleeve tracking large software names adapting to AI copilots and agents.
Who it is priced against: Closelook's peer group calls this the hyperscaler and enterprise-platform set — Amazon, Alphabet, Oracle, Salesforce and ServiceNow, priced on cloud and software scale rather than sector alone. Apple is the added name the market often compares it with.
Why Closelook tracks it: Microsoft sits in the Agentic Winners 40, the Nasdaq-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Its Closelook score runs strongest on quality and weakest on valuation. The diary names it a bellwether whose price action often leads sector sentiment.
What the diary watches: The diary watches how the Copilot and 365 bundle performs against rival agentic software as enterprise adoption of AI tools becomes clearer.

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) trades on US exchanges, classified under Technology. Constituent of Agentic Winners 40.

The Closelook company score reads 56/100 composite (momentum 74, quality 83, valuation 30) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelook’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: MSFT news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

Signals for this name

Every Closelook reading that exists for MSFT, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Chart structure 497.75 (+1.5%) · +7.7% vs 50-day · +15.4% vs 200-day · 9.7% off the 52-week high · 1 up session running Trending — Above its 20-, 50- and 200-day; consensus target sits +11.2% higher. Technical tab → 2026-09-17
Closelook score Composite 56/100 across 7 modules · strongest quality 83 · weakest valuation 30 Altman Z 8.9 · Piotroski 6/9 · Beneish M -2.59 Quality tab → 2026-09-18
Print record 10 of 10 EPS beats · 10 of 10 revenue beats · windows 2 up / 3 flat / 5 down est EPS $4.21 · est revenue ~$87.6B Print-record card → 2026-07-23
Analysts Buy · consensus target 553 (+11.2% to spot) · 66 buy / 16 hold / 0 sell Stifel: Target raised to $530 from $450 (+3.9% to spot) (2026-09-04) Analyst wire → 2026-09-04
Mag Pulse hyperscalers · week +1.1% · month +3.5% · year −1.8% · +3.6 pts vs the Nasdaq 100 fund on the month Mag Pulse → 2026-09-17

The Street on this name 3 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Stifel, 2026-09-04

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for MSFT from the Closelook wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

Price target Stifel — target 530 from 450 Target raised to $530 from $450 (+3.9% to spot) 2026-09-04
Downgrade Citigroup — Buy → Underperform Downgraded to Underperform from Buy 2026-08-20
Initiation Barclays — at Overweight Initiated to Overweight from Overweight 2026-08-20

3 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 downgrade, 1 initiation, 1 target change. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Who it is priced against Hyperscalers and enterprise platforms · 5 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Hyperscalers and enterprise platforms

Curated competitor set — who the market prices this name against, not just who shares its sector.

AMZNAmazon.com Inc

day
+2.1%

vs 50d
−1.8%

off high
−12.5%

score
50

flow: flat
GOOGLAlphabet Inc Class A

day
+1.3%

vs 50d
+0.5%

off high
−15.0%

score
—

flow: losing force
ORCLOracle Corporation

day
+5.2%

vs 50d
+6.9%

off high
−56.1%

score
46

flow: turning up
CRMSalesforce.com Inc

day
−2.9%

vs 50d
+18.3%

off high
−9.5%

score
63

flow: turning up
NOWServiceNow Inc

day
−1.0%

vs 50d
+13.4%

off high
−12.2%

score
56

flow: getting stronger

Compared against MSFT on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelook scores where it exists.

Versus its index Agentic Winners 40 — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelook index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Agentic Winners 40 · as of 2026-09-17

	Day	Week	Month	3 months
MSFT	+1.5%	+1.1%	+3.3%	+31.4%
Megacap Gateway	+1.7%	+2.4%	+5.5%	—
Agentic Winners 40	+0.4%	+2.1%	+0.5%	—

Against the index: 1.0 pts behind on the week, 2.8 pts ahead on the month; against its Megacap Gateway sleeve 2.2 pts behind on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

Money Temperature Composite 55/100 · S&P 500 fund at 58, above its 50- and 200-day averagesEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-17
Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 94th percentile of the window, +2.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-17
Sector × region Technology in US: −2.1% week · −3.4% month · −1.2% quarter · +32.1% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLK.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-09-16
Sovereign pressure Index 0.00 · down 0.41 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-17

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-18

Quick answers

What is Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)?

Microsoft Corporation trades as MSFT on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Technology in the Closelook research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-18.

Is MSFT in a Closelook index?

Yes — Microsoft Corporation is a constituent of Agentic Winners 40, as of 2026-09-18.

What is Microsoft Corporation's Closelook composite score?

56 out of 100, with momentum 74, quality 83 and valuation 30 sub-scores, as of 2026-09-18. Scores are Closelook's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

What is Microsoft Corporation's earnings print record?

Across the 10 prints Closelook covers, Microsoft Corporation beat EPS estimates 10 times and revenue estimates 10 times; the three-day reactions split 2 up, 3 flat and 5 down (moves beyond ±3%), as of the 2026-07-23 card. The full print-record card carries the per-print history.

Where does MSFT trade against its moving averages?

Trending: Above its 20-, 50- and 200-day; consensus target sits +11.2% higher. As of 2026-09-17 — a technical state from the nightly Closelook bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is MSFT doing against its Closelook index?

Over the past month Microsoft Corporation is +3.3% against +0.5% for the Agentic Winners 40 — 2.8 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-09-17. Its Megacap Gateway sleeve is +5.5% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

What does Microsoft Corporation do?

Microsoft builds software and cloud services for individuals and businesses. Its Productivity and Business Processes unit sells Microsoft 365, Teams, LinkedIn and Dynamics 365; its Intelligent Cloud unit runs Azure and server products; its More Personal Computing unit covers Windows, Surface devices, Xbox and search advertising through Bing and Copilot. It is based in Redmond, United States. Closelook's peer group calls this the hyperscaler and enterprise-platform set — Amazon, Alphabet, Oracle, Salesforce and ServiceNow, priced on cloud and software scale rather than sector alone. Apple is the added name the market often compares it with.

Where does Microsoft Corporation sit in the AI build-out?

Microsoft carries no Rubin or Halo seat in the diary's build-out stack, so it sits within our broader Technology universe rather than a hardware layer. It appears in the Agentic Winners 40, a sleeve tracking large software names adapting to AI copilots and agents. Microsoft sits in the Agentic Winners 40, the Nasdaq-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Its Closelook score runs strongest on quality and weakest on valuation. The diary names it a bellwether whose price action often leads sector sentiment.

What has Wall Street done on Microsoft Corporation recently?

The most recent analyst action on Microsoft Corporation on the Closelook wire is a price target by Stifel on 2026-09-04 (target 530 from 450). 3 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 downgrade, 1 initiation, 1 target change. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelook readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

Where has Closelook written about Microsoft Corporation?

Microsoft Corporation appears in 29 Closelook pieces, most recently Midday 10: Day after the hike — yields fall and the lines are retaken: 10-year 4.95%, chips +3% over $505, S&P ETF above $757.83 (2026-09-17); Morning 10: Rates — the Fed hikes and the 10-year closes above 5%: the belly sold, the relief unwound, chips back under $505 (2026-09-17); Midday 10: Fed day — relief before the decision: 10-year 4.96%, Brent under $107.63, chips reclaim $505, Nasdaq-100 above $708.69 (2026-09-16). What Closelook said most recently: Software recovers less than it fell: software ETF +0.9% to $105.93 after three days of selling; Microsoft +1.3% to $496.79, CrowdStrike +1.7% to $245.55, Adobe flat at $250.19 under its $256.29 paid line (Midday 10, 2026-09-17). The "Mentioned on Closelook" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for MSFT, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelook structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Mentioned on Closelook 29 pieces · newest: Midday 10, “Day after the hike — yields fall and the lines are retaken: 10-year 4.95%, chips +3% over $505, S&P ETF above $757.83” (2026-09-17)

Mentioned on Closelook

Where MSFT appears in the diary — 29 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Go deeper

Long reads

The Agentic Winners 25Dossier · $49 · 31 Mar 2026Bellwethers — large, liquid names like Microsoft, Salesforce, and Intuit whose price action telegraphs sector sentiment before mid-caps move.
NVIDIA 2030Dossier · $49 · 24 Mar 2026The historical analogy chain — Microsoft (Windows monopoly) → Apple (consumer computing platform) → AWS (global cloud utility) → NVIDIA (global intelligence utility) — frames the scale of what is happening.
Agentic Application Software: The SaaSpocalypse MapDossier · $39 · 27 Feb 2026Palantir (PLTR) · ServiceNow (NOW) · SAP (partial — ERP data locked in) Productivity & Collaboration Adapt or die — copilots vs replacement Microsoft owns the distribution channel: 365 + Copilot captures the vast majority of enterprise…
AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves OutReport · 14 Sept 2026Microsoft’s chief executive welcomed deliberate pacing.
Google and RSI — The Loop Nobody Has ClosedReport · 13 Sept 2026
Magnificent Seven — The Seven at the ShelfWeekly Signal · 30 Aug 2026The Magnificent Seven fund was +2.66% on the week against the flat index, Microsoft led the board at +6.3%, and six of the seven were green.
Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority InvestmentReport · 12 May 2026Three rhythmic series run alongside the dated events: Hyperscaler earnings (MSFT / GOOGL / META / AMZN, quarterly) — capex disclosures set NVIDIA's tape.
The SaaS Litmus Test: Is The March Bottom Real?Weekly Signal · 19 Apr 2026

101 and glossary

Agentic AI Adoption Curve: Where We Are and What Comes Next101The 'Cannibalize or Die' companies that pivoted early (Microsoft Copilot, Salesforce Agentforce) start showing agent-platform revenue.
The CapEx Cliff Question: When Does AI Infrastructure Spending Peak?101Hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta) are spending over $200 billion annually on AI infrastructure.

Dailies

Day after the hike — yields fall and the lines are retaken: 10-year 4.95%, chips +3% over $505, S&P ETF above $757.83Midday 10 · 17 Sept 2026Software recovers less than it fell: software ETF +0.9% to $105.93 after three days of selling; Microsoft +1.3% to $496.79, CrowdStrike +1.7% to $245.55, Adobe flat at $250.19 under its $256.29 paid line
Rates — the Fed hikes and the 10-year closes above 5%: the belly sold, the relief unwound, chips back under $505Morning 10 · 17 Sept 2026The other three on the hike: Agentic Winners 40 −1.3% to 921.21 — Applications −1.5%, UiPath −4.2%, CoStar −3.8%, Duolingo −3.7%, Intuit −3.4%, Adobe −2.8%, ServiceNow −1.5%, Microsoft −1.4%, Oracle +2.0%; HALO −0.3% to 1,005.06, Energy…
Fed day — relief before the decision: 10-year 4.96%, Brent under $107.63, chips reclaim $505, Nasdaq-100 above $708.69Midday 10 · 16 Sept 2026Software is the laggard: the software ETF flat at $105.41, Microsoft −0.5%, ServiceNow −0.8%; the security names hold, Palo Alto +1.2%.
AI trade — sellers of compute sold, buyers bought: chips −5.6%, software +5%, SoftBank +7% in TokyoMorning 10 · 15 Sept 2026Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta — the three that buy the most compute — closed up 2% to 3%.
Rates — the 10-year hits 5.01%: Dow −0.9%, Russell −1.2%, the AI sort pauses, Oracle and Adobe hold their linesMidday 10 · 15 Sept 2026The security group keeps its bid — CrowdStrike +2.9%, SentinelOne +2.3%, Zscaler +1.8% — and the buyers of compute give some back: Alphabet −1.6%, Amazon −1.5%, Apple −1.0%, Microsoft −0.8%.
Chips lead the market down as oil tops $105 and the 10-year hits 4.92%: Micron −4%, Intel −4%, Nvidia −2.5% — while software posts its first up day in six and Apple gains 3%Midday 10 · 10 Sept 2026On Wednesday five names with headlines rallied inside a falling fund; today the fund is up 0.5% while the names without news are the ones rising — ServiceNow +2.1% at $134 after a week of selling, Salesforce +0.6%, Datadog +0.5%, Shopify…
Chips up again, software down again — Friday's split is turning into a trendMidday 10 · 8 Sept 2026Shopify is down about 7.2%, Intuit 5.7%, Workday 5.6%, Booking 5.8%, ServiceNow 4.3%, Salesforce 3.5%, Adobe 3.3%, MongoDB 2.7%, Datadog 2.3%, Palantir 1.7% and Microsoft 1.4%.
Chips jump 3% while software falls 2% — the hot jobs report has split the tech trade in twoMidday 10 · 4 Sept 2026Nvidia and Caterpillar are the strongest shares in the Dow, Apple and Microsoft the weakest.

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Company snapshot — Microsoft Corporation

Signals for this name

Holdings on Closelook

The Street on this name

Peer group

Versus its index

The weather around this name

Quick answers

What is Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)?

Is MSFT in a Closelook index?

What is Microsoft Corporation's Closelook composite score?

What is Microsoft Corporation's earnings print record?

Where does MSFT trade against its moving averages?

How is MSFT doing against its Closelook index?

What does Microsoft Corporation do?

Where does Microsoft Corporation sit in the AI build-out?

What has Wall Street done on Microsoft Corporation recently?

Where has Closelook written about Microsoft Corporation?

What does this page show?

Mentioned on Closelook

Related in the Closelook universe

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — chart, structure and Closelook read

Toolbar

Picking a series

Studies

Drawing

Wave counts

Sharing

Per-ticker OHLC, SMA, performance.

Company snapshot — Microsoft Corporation

Signals for this name

Holdings on Closelook

The Street on this name

Peer group

Versus its index

The weather around this name

Quick answers

What is Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)?

Is MSFT in a Closelook index?

What is Microsoft Corporation's Closelook composite score?

What is Microsoft Corporation's earnings print record?

Where does MSFT trade against its moving averages?

How is MSFT doing against its Closelook index?

What does Microsoft Corporation do?

Where does Microsoft Corporation sit in the AI build-out?

What has Wall Street done on Microsoft Corporation recently?

Where has Closelook written about Microsoft Corporation?

What does this page show?

Mentioned on Closelook

Related in the Closelook universe