Progressive Corp (PGR) — chart, structure and Closelook read

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Company snapshot — Progressive Corp

PGR in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelook stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Progressive underwrites property-casualty insurance across the United States, covering personal autos, motorcycles, RVs, watercraft and homeowner or renter policies. It also insures commercial vehicles such as trucks, vans and trailers, offers small-business liability and property cover, and writes workers’ compensation for transport firms. Policies reach customers through independent agents, online channels and phone sales. The company is based in Mayfield, Ohio.
Where it sits in the stack
Progressive carries no seat in our Rubin index and sits outside the AI build-out entirely; it belongs to the financial-services sleeve of our wider universe as a property-casualty insurer rather than a hardware or software supplier to the stack.
Who it is priced against
No peer group is set for it in our data; the market commonly compares it with GEICO and Allstate as large personal-auto insurers.
Why Closelook tracks it
Progressive holds a seat in the S&P 500 but carries no Rubin seat; it does not yet carry a Closelook score, so that module is still being built, and no diary quotes are recorded for it.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether the recent pullback from its 52-week high steadies and whether the lowered analyst price target signals a shift in the underwriting outlook.

Progressive Corp (PGR) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelook’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: PGR news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

Signals for this name

Every Closelook reading that exists for PGR, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

The Street on this name 3 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Mizuho, 2026-09-16

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for PGR from the Closelook wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Mizuho — target 230 from 236 Target cut to $230 from $236 (+3.9% to spot) 2026-09-16
  • Price target Roth Capital — target 245 from 235 Target raised to $245 from $235 (+12.8% to spot) 2026-08-20
  • Upgrade Keefe, Bruyette & Woods — Market Perform → Outperform Upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform 2026-08-20

3 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Who it is priced against Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Insurance - Property & Casualty · United States

This name carries no Closelook score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against PGR on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelook scores where it exists.

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 6.29%, annual · last 13.60 USD on 2026-01-02

Dividends and capital return

What PGR pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 13.60 USD per share · a 6.29% yield on the 2026-09-17 close 1 distribution, paid once a year 2026-09-17
  • Change on the year +186.0% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 4.76 USD per share
  • Last distribution 13.60 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-01-02
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.10 USD (partial) · 2024: 0.85 USD · 2025: 4.76 USD · 2026: 13.60 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-10-04

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 55/100 · S&P 500 fund at 58, above its 50- and 200-day averagesEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-17
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 94th percentile of the window, +2.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-17
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.00 · down 0.41 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-17

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-18

Quick answers

What is Progressive Corp (PGR)?

Progressive Corp trades as PGR on the US exchange (United States) in the Closelook research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-18.

Is PGR in a Closelook index?

Not currently — Progressive Corp is tracked in the Closelook research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelook functional index as of 2026-09-18.

Where does PGR trade against its moving averages?

Uptrend stack intact: Trades +0.2% vs the 50-day and +3.6% vs the 200-day average, 9.6% below the 52-week high and +15.1% off the 52-week low; a golden cross printed 43 sessions ago. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-17 — a technical state from the nightly Closelook bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

What does Progressive Corp do?

Progressive underwrites property-casualty insurance across the United States, covering personal autos, motorcycles, RVs, watercraft and homeowner or renter policies. It also insures commercial vehicles such as trucks, vans and trailers, offers small-business liability and property cover, and writes workers’ compensation for transport firms. Policies reach customers through independent agents, online channels and phone sales. No peer group is set for it in our data; the market commonly compares it with GEICO and Allstate as large personal-auto insurers.

Where does Progressive Corp sit in the AI build-out?

Progressive carries no seat in our Rubin index and sits outside the AI build-out entirely; it belongs to the financial-services sleeve of our wider universe as a property-casualty insurer rather than a hardware or software supplier to the stack. Progressive holds a seat in the S&P 500 but carries no Rubin seat; it does not yet carry a Closelook score, so that module is still being built, and no diary quotes are recorded for it.

Does Progressive Corp pay a dividend?

Progressive Corp has paid 13.60 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid once a year, a trailing yield of 6.29% on the 2026-09-17 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 13.60 USD on 2026-01-02. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Progressive Corp recently?

The most recent analyst action on Progressive Corp on the Closelook wire is a price target by Mizuho on 2026-09-16 (target 230 from 236). 3 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelook readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for PGR, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelook structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelook universe

then Insurance - Property & Casualty, then Financial Services. Scored names rank on their Closelook score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.