Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-08-11 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -26.0% to +15.3% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est revenue ~$0.92B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | 2026-08-12 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 26 | 2026-05-13 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 26 | 2026-02-12 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Nov 25 | 2025-11-11 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Aug 25 | 2025-08-07 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| May 25 | 2025-05-20 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Feb 25 | 2025-02-20 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-31 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full NBIS print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-08-11
Quick answers
How often does Nebius Group N.V. beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 8 covered prints (as of the 2026-08-11 card), Nebius Group N.V. beat EPS estimates 5 of 8 times and revenue estimates 3 of 8 times, with 2 double beats.
How does NBIS stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 3 of the last 8 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 1 flat, 4 down — reactions spanning -26.0% to +15.3%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was NBIS's biggest earnings reaction?
-26% over the three sessions after the Feb 25 print (2025-02-20).
When does Nebius Group N.V. report earnings next?
2026-11-10 (Mid-November — est EPS -$0.70 · est revenue ~$0.92B). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelook
Where NBIS appears in the diary — 19 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Long reads
- Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration Layer
Together AI · Fireworks · Anyscale (Ray Serve) · Replicate · Modal · CoreWeave · Nebius (NBIS) Data Platforms & Vector Storage Layer 2 — The Memory Layer This is the persistence bottleneck — the single most critical infrastructure gap for…
- Portfolio Construction — Build a Barbell · Closelook Heresy III
Live cohort as of May 2026: COHR · CRWV · GLW · INTC · IREN · LITE · MRVL · NBIS · NOK · SNPS.
- Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority Investment
The 16-Event Timeline (2023-07-12 → 2026-05-12) 2024 2025 2026 RXRX 23-07 ARM 23-09 APLD 24-09 NBIS 24-12 MRVL 25-03 CRWV 25-03 INTC 25-09 NOK 25-10 SNPS 25-12 LITE COHR 26-03 IREN 26-05 GLW 26-05 exit RXRX exit APLD exit ARM Tier 1 …
- Nvidia’s Equity Stakes — Follow the Wise Men, Pattern 03 Preview
Nebius has risen from $20 in late 2024 to a $200 peak earlier this month, and is now at $177.05 after a 4% pullback on Friday.
101 and glossary
- Alt-Hyperscalers: Why CoreWeave, Nebius, and Lambda Labs Matter
A new class of cloud providers — CoreWeave, Nebius (ex-Yandex), Lambda Labs, Together AI, and others — is challenging the AWS/Azure/GCP oligopoly by offering what the hyperscalers cannot or will not: bare-metal GPU access without…
- Sovereign AI: The National Compute Arms Race and Its Investment Map
The investment implications span from NVIDIA (selling DGX Cloud to governments globally) to Nebius (Yandex spin-off building European sovereign cloud) to Dell and HPE (on-premises AI infrastructure for nations with data residency…
Dailies
- Oil settles at $107.63, the 10-year hits 4.95% and the 30-year 5.36%, its highest since 2007: chips lead a fourth down day, Oracle beats and jumps 4% after hours, Adobe beats and slips — and Asia sells its chipmakers 3% to 7%
Our Euro-AI Sovereign 50 fell 1.5%, its chip-equipment group −4.4%, industrial automation −2.8% with Kion −5.8% and Munters −4.3%; enterprise software was the one group up, +0.4%, with OVHcloud +4.3% and Nynomic +4.6% the two best names…
- Oil knocks on $100 and Wall Street sells everything but the AI pipe: Intel +9%, Lumentum +11%, Dow −1.2% — Seoul buys the dip and the Kospi is back above 7,000
The one exception inside agentic software was the compute layer: CoreWeave +11.7%, Nebius +7.7%, IREN +5.0%, DigitalOcean +12.6%, lifting our Compute Operators sub-index 3.3% and 11.0% on the week.
- The Treasury buys duration with bills, hard assets read it first — Bitcoin toward 70,000, gold through 4,400, as the minutes turn hawkish and Korea answers its crash with a buyback
SOXX −2.21%, XSD −2.79%, SMH −1.55% Wednesday even as the DRAM ETF held flat +0.07% to 55.14; singles AMAT −3.53% (496.17), LITE −5.23%, COHR −6.19%, FN −5.81% (454.55), NBIS −9.87%, CRWV −2.47%.
- Options Diary — Everything Got More Time, Except the One That Didn’t
Two January 2027 short puts were rolled out to June 2027 at a net credit — NBIS up a strike to 160, PLTR flat at 150 — while IONQ's puts were closed outright with no replacement, the one position in the book given no extension at all.
- The macro week breaks at the last print — retail and Michigan miss, bonds slip the floor, and Lumentum runs from the middle
And in the single names, the week's sorting keeps writing itself: Applied Materials confirms its charge in cash, Nebius extends into a third-day payment, and Lumentum is running AWAY from the middle of its record with hours to the window…
- No Bursting Bubble — The Rotation Inside the AI Trade, in Four Panels, With PPI as the Hinge
Overnight, the same message in single names Wednesday's close paid the rotation's challengers: Nebius +34.1% to 259.20, straight through a famously disclosed short entry near 212, on a print that merely reiterated guidance; CoreWeave…
- Quiet index, violent sorting — memory rips, Cisco pays for its beat, and the bonds reclaim the floor
CoreWeave & Nebius — day-two retention passes
- The referendum passes at midday — neoclouds vertical, semis re-bid, and the yen refuses to stand down
NBIS trades up 23.7% to ~239 by midday — through the much-publicised short position disclosed near 212 — on a quarter that was, by the columns, unremarkable: revenue $574.6M, +446% year over year and in line, every guidance line reiterated.
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