Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM) — Technical state
As of 2026-09-17 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelook diary readings, not advice.
41.5% off its high — yet the $363 consensus implies +37.1%.
Ranked #36 on today’s Directional Flow — Top scores list (scan of 2026-09-17).
The moving-average stack
- vs 20-day+6.8%
- vs 50-day+1.1%
- vs 200-day+28.2%
- 52-week band41.5% off the high · +164.8% off the low
- Streak3 consecutive up sessions
- 50-day crossprice crossed up through the 50-day 1 sessions ago
- Stochastic%K 50.2 · %D 43.2 · up cross
Analyst consensus (context)
Target 363 (+37.1% vs the baked price) · Buy · 19 buy / 6 hold / 2 sell. Third-party consensus, shown for context — not a Closelook view.
Continue: the ARM chart & overview · quality & forensics · the signal board
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-17
Quick answers
What is the current Closelook signal on ARM?
Widest analyst gap — 41.5% off its high — yet the $363 consensus implies +37.1%. As of 2026-09-17; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.
Is ARM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
As of 2026-09-17, Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares trades +1.1% above its 50-day and +28.2% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day +6.8% away.
How far is ARM from its 52-week high?
41.5% below the 52-week high and 164.8% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-09-17.
What is the analyst consensus on Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares?
Consensus target 363 (+37.1% vs the baked price), rating Buy, with 19 buy / 6 hold / 2 sell recommendations — third-party consensus data, shown for context, not a Closelook view.
Mentioned on Closelook
Where ARM appears in the diary — 24 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- Where to Invest in the AI Chip Constraint Chain
P/E HBM6 Next Gen ARM Holdings ARM · ~$185 Watch Not a constraint — but the IP architecture behind 99% of edge AI chips ARM licenses the processor architecture used in virtually every smartphone, IoT device, and increasingly AI edge chips.
- Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration Layer
Cloudflare (NET) · Qualcomm (QCOM) · Arm Holdings (ARM) · Fastly · Akamai · Vercel · Lenovo Foundation Model Providers Layer 0 — The Upstream Dependency The upstream dependency for the entire stack.
- Who Owns the AI Chip Buildout?
Europe's real power is chokepoint leverage via ASML export controls, plus critical R&D (IMEC) and IP (ARM).
- The DeepSeek Moment Moves Into Chip Design — Part I
And one detail from the same session deserves rescuing from the wreckage, because almost nobody mentioned it: ARM — the third listed name whose entire business is chip-design IP — closed the day up two percent.
- The Index Was Built for This — Kimi K3, Part III
ARM — the third name in our EDA & Chip IP sector — closed up two percent.
- Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority Investment
The 16-Event Timeline (2023-07-12 → 2026-05-12) 2024 2025 2026 RXRX 23-07 ARM 23-09 APLD 24-09 NBIS 24-12 MRVL 25-03 CRWV 25-03 INTC 25-09 NOK 25-10 SNPS 25-12 LITE COHR 26-03 IREN 26-05 GLW 26-05 exit RXRX exit APLD exit ARM Tier 1 …
- Nvidia Ecosystem — Wave 1: The ‘Stacking’ Peak
ARM Holdings ARM 0.90 Correlation Tier I Classification 2026/27 Peak Role Architecture Royalty Why The Vera CPU inside every NVIDIA Superchip is ARM-based.
Dailies
- Yen — the Bank of Japan hikes and the dollar holds 157: the carry trade pays, the lines held, chips +3.4% over $505
- Fed day — relief before the decision: 10-year 4.96%, Brent under $107.63, chips reclaim $505, Nasdaq-100 above $708.69
- Rates — Fed day at a 5% 10-year: the hike is priced, the cycle is not; Yardeni cuts the S&P target to 7,900
- AI trade — sellers of compute sold, buyers bought: chips −5.6%, software +5%, SoftBank +7% in Tokyo
- Rates — the 10-year hits 5.01%: Dow −0.9%, Russell −1.2%, the AI sort pauses, Oracle and Adobe hold their lines
- AI trade — the pacing call splits tech: chips −5%, software +4.5%, security +12–15%, 10-year hits 5%
- Stocks snap a four-day losing streak as oil slips under $100 and chips bounce 2% — despite core inflation hotter than hoped and Fed hike odds at 82%; Oracle gives back its entire after-hours jump
- Chips lead the market down as oil tops $105 and the 10-year hits 4.92%: Micron −4%, Intel −4%, Nvidia −2.5% — while software posts its first up day in six and Apple gains 3%
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