SoftBank Group Corp. (9984.T) — Technical state

Long reads

• AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves OutReport · 14 Sept 2026Korea fell 3.3%, SoftBank 11%, memory names 4% to 7%, and the equipment makers barely moved, which is the order a premium story runs in and not the order a volume story runs in.

Dailies

• Yen — the Bank of Japan hikes and the dollar holds 157: the carry trade pays, the lines held, chips +3.4% over $505Morning 10 · 18 Sept 2026Tokyo bought the decision — the Nikkei +1.6% at 65,159, Tokyo Electron +4.2%, SoftBank +1.7% — and Seoul bought harder, the Kospi +2.8% at 6,903 with SK Hynix +6.0% and Samsung +3.5% following Micron and SanDisk; the Taiex closed +1.9%…
• Rates — the Fed hikes and the 10-year closes above 5%: the belly sold, the relief unwound, chips back under $505Morning 10 · 17 Sept 2026Asia into the Bank of Japan: Nikkei +0.2% to 64,024, SoftBank +1.0%, Tokyo Electron −2.1%; Kospi +0.2% to 6,733, SK Hynix −0.2%; Taiex +1.0% to 46,313, TSMC +1.9% to NT$2,425; Hang Seng −0.9% to 24,480; the yen 155.8 after 156.2…
• Rates — Fed day at a 5% 10-year: the hike is priced, the cycle is not; Yardeni cuts the S&P target to 7,900Morning 10 · 16 Sept 2026Overnight Asia is green — Kospi +0.7%, SK Hynix +2.6%, Samsung +1.3%, Taiex +0.7%, Nikkei +0.3%, SoftBank −1.9% — and the futures are flat; Brent $108.16, gold $4,364, the yen 155.3 with the Bank of Japan expected to hike to 1.25% on…
• AI trade — sellers of compute sold, buyers bought: chips −5.6%, software +5%, SoftBank +7% in TokyoMorning 10 · 15 Sept 2026Overnight Asia is calmer than Monday — the Kospi −1.2%, SK Hynix −0.9%, TSMC unchanged — and SoftBank has bounced 7% in Tokyo after Monday’s 11% fall.
• AI trade — the labs ask for a slowdown: Kospi −3.3%, SoftBank −11%, Nasdaq futures −1.2%, oil back above $106Morning 10 · 14 Sept 2026Three frontier labs on one page is a new fact, and Asia traded it as a demand story for the physical layer: the Kospi lost 3.3% to 6,679 with SK Hynix −6.7% and Samsung −4.0%, SoftBank — OpenAI’s largest outside backer — fell 11.3% in…
• Oil settles at $107.63, the 10-year hits 4.95% and the 30-year 5.36%, its highest since 2007: chips lead a fourth down day, Oracle beats and jumps 4% after hours, Adobe beats and slips — and Asia sells its chipmakers 3% to 7%Morning 10 · 11 Sept 2026Asia sells the chips it bought on Thursday: Nikkei −2.0% to 63,971 after −2.8% intraday, Advantest −6.8%, Kioxia −7.0%, Lasertec −5.0%, SoftBank −4.2%; Kospi 6,923, −1.6%, after a 6,859 low, Samsung −3.3%, SK hynix −1.7%; Taiwan −1.6%…
• Oil knocks on $100 and Wall Street sells everything but the AI pipe: Intel +9%, Lumentum +11%, Dow −1.2% — Seoul buys the dip and the Kospi is back above 7,000Morning 10 · 9 Sept 2026Asia took the chips and left the rest: the Kospi is up 1.2% at 7,038 with SK hynix +3.1%, the Nikkei is down 0.3% with Advantest −3.3% and SoftBank +3.2% on a $10–20 billion bond plan, and China’s producer prices rose 3.8%, the most in…
• Asia’s chip rally fades into the close: Kospi touches 7,171 and ends under 7,000, Nikkei −1.2% on a 153 yen — and Lenovo drops 6%, Z.ai 10% in Hong KongMorning 10 · 8 Sept 2026Tokyo gives Monday back: Nikkei −1.2% to 65,596 on a 153 yen, Murata −7.0%, Sumco −6.8%, Ibiden −5.9%, Disco −5.0% — SoftBank +6.3% the exception